Two Centuries of Drought History in the Center of Chihuahua, Mexico

Droughts are a climatic phenomenon with local, regional, and large-scale repercussions. Historical knowledge of droughts generated by modeled data allows the development of more accurate climate reconstructions to propose better approaches for the management of hydric resources. The objective of this research was to evaluate the association of precipitation and temperature with data from the NLDAS-002 to develop a reconstruction of droughts in the center of Chihuahua, Mexico using the SPEI from tree rings. We also identified the influence of ocean-atmospheric phenomena on the reconstructed drought index. The best association among chronologies was obtained with the earlywood band and accumulated seasonal precipitation from November of the previous year to June of the current year (r = 0.82, p < 0.05) and for temperature from January to July (r = -0.81, p < 0.05). The reconstructed drought index extended from 1775 to 2017 (243 years), where seven extreme drought events were identified. We found significant correlations between the reconstructed Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (r = 0.46, p < 0.05), Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (r = -0.34, p < 0.05), Multivariate El Nino Southern Oscillation Index (r = 0.29, p < 0.05), and Southern Oscillation Index (r = -0.22, p < 0.05). The historical reconstruction of hydroclimatology in the center of Chihuahua is important for planning a long-term assessment and for the management of water resources shared by Mexico and the United States.

Automated summary

This research reconstructed droughts in the center of Chihuahua, Mexico using the SPEI from tree rings, and identified the influence of ocean-atmospheric phenomena on the reconstructed drought index. The study found significant correlations between precipitation and temperature with the earlywood band, and identified seven extreme drought events from 1775 to 2017.