4.6 Article

Testing for Granger causality with mixed frequency data

期刊

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
卷 192, 期 1, 页码 207-230

出版社

ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.07.007

关键词

Granger causality test; Local asymptotic power; Mixed data sampling (MIDAS); Temporal aggregation; Vector autoregression (VAR)

资金

  1. Marie Curie
  2. Federal Reserve Bank of New York through the Resident Scholar Program
  3. European Central Bank through the Duisenberg Scholar Program

向作者/读者索取更多资源

We develop Granger causality tests that apply directly to data sampled at different frequencies. We show that taking advantage of mixed frequency data allows us to better recover causal relationships when compared to the conventional common low frequency approach. We also show that the new causality tests have higher local asymptotic power as well as more power in finite samples compared to conventional tests. In an empirical application involving U.S. macroeconomic indicators, we show that the mixed frequency approach and the low frequency approach produce very different causal implications, with the former yielding more intuitively appealing result. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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