Maximal reproduction number estimation and identification of transmission rate from the first inflection point of new infectious cases waves: COVID-19 outbreak example

Article Mathematical & Computational Biology

What can we learn from COVID-19 data by using epidemic models with unidentified infectious cases?

Quentin Griette et al.

Summary: This study combines a phenomenological model and an epidemic model to analyze COVID-19 case data. The findings suggest that social effects play a crucial role in understanding the dynamics of the pandemic, and a vaccination rate of 75-80% is needed to eliminate the virus.

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING (2022)

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Article Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology

Modelling the Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 in Six High-Burden Countries

Azizur Rahman et al.

Summary: This study presented an age-structured compartmental model of COVID-19 transmission during the pandemic period and estimated transmission rates for six high-burden countries. The results showed that saturation infection negatively impacted the dynamics of cases in all countries and that adults were more susceptible to infection.

BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL (2021)

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Article Health Care Sciences & Services

Article Analysis of Reproduction Number R0 of COVID-19 Using Current Health Expenditure as Gross Domestic Product Percentage (CHE/GDP) across Countries

Kayode Oshinubi et al.

Summary: The research found that countries with higher health expenditure as a percentage of GDP were able to improve their public health strategies against the virus during the second wave of the pandemic. This suggests that investing more in health infrastructure can help countries better tackle future waves of the COVID-19 outbreak and other diseases.

HEALTHCARE (2021)

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Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

Estimation of Daily Reproduction Numbers during the COVID-19 Outbreak

Jacques Demongeot et al.

Summary: The study proposes a new method to estimate daily reproduction numbers, reports simulation results for waves of the COVID-19 outbreak in various countries, and discusses the impact of noise on the stability of epidemic dynamics.

COMPUTATION (2021)

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Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

A Model of Vaccination for Dengue in the Philippines 2016-2018

Pierre Magal et al.

Summary: The study develops a mathematical model of the dengue epidemic in the Philippines to analyze the vaccination program for children in 2016-2017, comparing outcomes of different vaccination strategies.

FRONTIERS IN APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS (2021)

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Article Biology