期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 49, 期 15, 页码 -出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2021GL097525
关键词
Antarctic Ice Sheet; glacial isostatic adjustment; sea-level; mantle rheology; future projections
资金
- Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada [RGPIN-2016-05159]
- Canada Research Chairs program [241814]
- National Science Foundation (NSF) [174490, 1745074, 1744852, 1744889]
- Canadian Foundation for Innovation
- Fonds de Recherche du Quebec-Nature et technologies
- Star-Friedman Challenge of Harvard University
- Compute Canada
Seismic tomography models reveal highly variable Earth structure beneath Antarctica, particularly anomalously low shallow mantle viscosities below West Antarctica. A high-resolution 3-D viscoelastic structure model is built based on seismic velocity heterogeneity inferences, and is combined with a global-scale sea-level model to investigate the influence of solid Earth deformation in Antarctica on future global mean sea-level rise.
Seismic tomography models indicate highly variable Earth structure beneath Antarctica with anomalously low shallow mantle viscosities below West Antarctica. An improved projection of the contribution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to sea-level change requires consideration of this complexity to precisely account for water expelled into the ocean from uplifting marine sectors. Here we build a high-resolution 3-D viscoelastic structure model based on recent inferences of seismic velocity heterogeneity below the continent. The model serves as input to a global-scale sea-level model that we use to investigate the influence of solid Earth deformation in Antarctica on future global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise. Our calculations are based on a suite of ice mass projections generated with a range of climate forcings and suggest that water expulsion from the rebounding marine basins contributes 4%-16% and 7%-14% to the projected GMSL change at 2100 and 2500, respectively.
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