4.5 Article

Adaptive responses: the effects of temperature levels on residential electricity use in China

期刊

CLIMATIC CHANGE
卷 172, 期 3-4, 页码 -

出版社

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03374-3

关键词

Adaptation; China; Climate change; Electricity consumption; Residential

资金

  1. National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars [71925008]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Rising temperatures will increase residential demand for electricity, and the specific effects vary depending on geographical area and socio-economic conditions. In China, each additional day of high temperatures is associated with an increase in residential electricity use relative to days with lower temperatures.
Rising temperatures are likely to boost residential demand for electricity in warm locations for reasons including increased use of air conditioners, fans, and refrigeration. Yet precise effects may vary by geographical area and with socio-economic conditions. Knowledge on these effects in developing countries is limited due to data availability and reliability issues. Using a high-quality provincial-level monthly dataset for China and fixed-effect panel methods, we find a U-shaped and asymmetrical relationship between ambient temperature and monthly residential electricity use. An additional day with a maximum temperature exceeding 34 degrees C is on average associated with a 1.6% increase in that month's per capita residential electricity use relative to if that day's maximum temperature had been in the 22-26 degrees C range. The effect of an additional cold day is smaller. There are differences in effects for the south versus the north of China and for urban versus rural areas. Under a high global carbon dioxide emission trajectory, we estimate that expected temperature increases would lead to more than a 25% increase in residential electricity use in July in some provinces by the end of the century, holding other factors constant.

作者

我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。

评论

主要评分

4.5
评分不足

次要评分

新颖性
-
重要性
-
科学严谨性
-
评价这篇论文

推荐

暂无数据
暂无数据