4.4 Article

Nonstationary patterns in demographic traits covary with Chinook salmon marine distributions

出版社

CANADIAN SCIENCE PUBLISHING
DOI: 10.1139/cjfas-2021-0312

关键词

age-at-maturity; dynamic factor analysis; life history; population productivity; population demography; spatial distribution; survival

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Despite reductions in harvest, the abundance of Chinook salmon stocks continues to decline. A study using data from 57 indicator stocks identified the juvenile marine distribution as the best predictor of survival and age trends. Only subyearling stocks entering the Strait of Georgia showed evidence of transitioning to a low juvenile survival period, while other groupings had either low and stable or cyclical survival patterns. Widespread declines in mean age-at-maturity suggest potential future declines in population productivity.
The abundance of many Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) stocks has declined despite reductions in harvest. We used state-space models parameterized with data from 57 Chinook salmon indicator stocks, ranging from coastal Oregon to southeast Alaska, to quantify long-term (since 1972 release year) changes in juvenile marine survival rate and mean age-at maturity, as well as identify stock groupings with coherent dynamics. We found that juvenile marine distribution--rather than freshwater life history, run timing, or adult marine distribution--was the best predictor of trends in both survival and age. Only subyearling stocks that enter the Strait of Georgia showed evidence of transitioning to a low juvenile survival period, other groupings exhibited low and stable or cyclical patterns in survival. Conversely, declines in mean age-at-maturity were widespread and do not appear to have stabilized, suggesting that future declines in Chinook salmon population productivity may be influenced by earlier maturation or increased adult mortality, rather than further reductions in juvenile marine survival.

作者

我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。

评论

主要评分

4.4
评分不足

次要评分

新颖性
-
重要性
-
科学严谨性
-
评价这篇论文

推荐

暂无数据
暂无数据