4.5 Article

All's well that ends (and peaks) well? A meta-analysis of the peak-end rule and duration neglect

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ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104149

关键词

Peak; End; Trough; Duration neglect; Heuristics; Retrospective evaluations; Gestalt characteristics

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The peak-end rule suggests that people rely more on the peak intensity and final episode when retrospectively evaluating an experience. Our meta-analysis supports this rule, showing a strong effect on retrospective evaluations that is robust and comparable to the overall average score. The effect is stronger than the trend and variability across all episodes, as well as the first and lowest intensity episodes, and is essentially unaffected by the duration of the experience.
The peak-end rule (Fredrickson & Kahneman, 1993) asserts that, when people retrospectively evaluate an experience (e.g., the previous workday), they rely more heavily on the episode with peak intensity and on the final (end) episode than on other episodes in the experience. We meta-analyzed 174 effect sizes and found strong support for the peak-end rule. The peak-end effect on retrospective summary evaluations was: (1) large (r = 0.581, 95% Confidence Interval = 0.487-0.661), (2) robust across boundary conditions, (3) comparable to the effect of the overall average (mean) score and stronger than the effects of the trend and variability across all episodes in the experience, (4) stronger than the effects of the first (beginning) and lowest intensity (trough) episodes, and (5) stronger than the effect of the duration of the experience (which was essentially nil, thereby supporting the idea of duration neglect; Fredrickson & Kahneman, 1993). We provide a future research agenda and practical implications.

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