Real-World Therapy with Pembrolizumab: Outcomes and Surrogate Endpoints for Predicting Survival in Advanced Melanoma Patients in Germany

Simple Summary Knowledge on the real-world outcomes of patients with advanced melanoma and the value of different endpoints for evaluating survival benefits is limited. We investigated the outcomes and different surrogate endpoints for overall survival (OS) in 664 pembrolizumab-treated patients with advanced melanoma in Germany. Our findings support the effectiveness of pembrolizumab in real-world clinical practice. The real-world time to next treatment was most strongly correlated with OS, suggesting it as a valuable surrogate endpoint to assess treatment effectiveness. Real-world studies assessing time to next treatment could support clinical and payer decision making. Knowledge on the real-world characteristics and outcomes of pembrolizumab-treated advanced melanoma patients in Germany and on the value of different real-world endpoints as surrogates for overall survival (OS) is limited. A sample of 664 pembrolizumab-treated patients with advanced melanoma from the German registry ADOReg was used. We examined OS, real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS), real-world time to next treatment (rwTtNT), and real-world time on treatment (rwToT). Spearman's rank and iterative multiple imputation (IMI)-based correlation coefficients were computed between the OS and the rwPFS, rwTtNT, and rwToT and reported for the first line of therapy and the overall sample. The median OS was 30.5 (95%CI 25.0-35.4) months, the rwPFS was 3.9 months (95%CI 3.5-4.9), the rwTtNT was 10.7 months (95%CI 9.0-12.9), and the rwToT was 6.2 months (95%CI 5.1-6.8). The rwTtNT showed the highest correlation with the OS based on the IMI (rIMI = 0.83), Spearman rank correlations (rs = 0.74), followed by the rwToT (rIMI = 0.74 and rs = 0.65) and rwPFS (rIMI = 0.69 and rs = 0.56). The estimates for the outcomes and correlations were similar for the overall sample and those in first-line therapy. The median OS was higher compared to recent real-world studies, supporting the effectiveness of pembrolizumab in regular clinical practice. The rwTtNT may be a valuable OS surrogate, considering the highest correlation was observed with the OS among the investigated real-world endpoints.

Automated summary

This study investigated the outcomes and surrogate endpoints for overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced melanoma treated with pembrolizumab. The findings support the effectiveness of pembrolizumab in real-world clinical practice, with real-world time to next treatment showing the highest correlation with OS. Evaluating time to next treatment in real-world studies could support decision making in clinical and payer settings.