A Risk Model of Eight Immune-Related Genes Predicting Prognostic Response to Immune Therapies for Gastric Cancer

Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment is considered as an innovative approach for cancers. Since not every patient responded well to ICI therapy, it is imperative to screen out novel signatures to predict prognosis. Based on 407 gastric cancer (GC) samples retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), 36 immune-related hub genes were identified by weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA), and eight of them (RNASE2, CGB5, INHBE, DUSP1, APOA1, CD36, PTGER3, CTLA4) were used to formulate the Cox regression model. The obtained risk score was proven to be significantly correlated with overall survival (OS), consistent with the consequence of the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohort (n = 433). Then, the relationship between the risk score and clinical, molecular and immune characteristics was further investigated. Results showed that the low-risk subgroup exhibited higher mutation rate, more M1 macrophages, CD8(+) and CD4(+) T cells infiltrating, more active MHC-I, and bias to IFN-gamma Dominant immune type, which is consistent with our current understanding of tumor prognostic risk. Furthermore, it is suggested that our model can accurately predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS of GC patients, and that it was superior to other canonical models, such as TIDE and TIS. Thus, these eight genes are probably considered as potential signatures to predict prognosis and to distinguish patient benefit from ICI, serving as a guiding individualized immunotherapy.

Automated summary

This study identified eight immune-related hub genes for predicting prognosis in gastric cancer patients, and found that the low-risk subgroup had better immune characteristics and prognosis. The model developed in this study accurately predicted the survival of gastric cancer patients and outperformed other models.