期刊
SUSTAINABILITY
卷 14, 期 8, 页码 -出版社
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/su14084757
关键词
migration; shared socioeconomic pathways; inequality; labor; demographics; human capital
资金
- European Union [821124-NAVIGATE-Next]
International migration is influenced by demographic, socioeconomic, and environmental factors as well as migration policies. The study shows that international migration increases welfare in developing countries and reduces inequality between low-skilled and high-skilled labor in these countries. However, in most developed countries, international migration leads to increased inequality and slightly reduced output.
International migration is closely tied to demographic, socioeconomic, and environmental factors and their interaction with migration policies. Using a combination of a gravity econometric model and an overlapping generations model, we estimate the probability of bilateral migration among 160 countries in the period of 1960 to 2000 and use these findings to project international migration flows and their implications for income inequality within and between countries in the 21st century under five shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Our results show that international migration increases welfare in developing countries, and closes the inequality gap both within and between low-skilled and high-skilled labor in these countries as well. In most developed countries, on the contrary, international migration increases the inequality gap and slightly reduces output. These changes are not uniform, and vary significantly across countries depending on their population growth and human capital development trajectories. Overall, while migration is strongly affected by inequality between developed and developing countries, it has an ambiguous impact on inequality within and between countries.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据