4.6 Article

Basic reproduction number for the SIR epidemic in degree correlated networks

期刊

PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA
卷 433, 期 -, 页码 -

出版社

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physd.2022.133183

关键词

SIR dynamics; Basic reproduction number; Degree correlated networks; Joint degree distribution; Configuration networks

资金

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [11801532, 12171443]
  2. Key Project of Natural Science Foundation of China [61833005]
  3. China Postdoctoral Science Foundation [2019T120372]
  4. Fundamental Re-search Funds for the Central Universities, China, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan) [CUGSX01]

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The basic reproduction number R-0 is an important indicator of the severity of an epidemic outbreak. Assortative and disassortative mixing have different effects on virus transmission, and the results in degree correlated networks may not be universal but hold true for bimodal degree distribution and assortative mixing networks.
The basic reproduction number R-0 is an important indicator of the severity for an epidemic outbreak, but it may not be obtained easily for heterogeneous populations especially with biased mixing contacts. Usually, explicit formula for the basic reproduction number in degree correlated networks is difficult to get, thus it is very useful to understand the relationship with their uncorrelated counterparts. It seems that the assortative mixing increases the basic reproduction number of susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic, whereas disassortative mixing decreases it, or that assortative mixing enhances the percolation, whereas disassortative mixing weakens it. This result is obtained for degree correlated networks based on a small deviation from the uncorrelated networks, and may not be universal. In this paper, we show rigorously that the result is true for degree correlated networks with arbitrary bimodal degree distribution and for assortative mixing networks with arbitrary degree distribution. However, this may not be always true for general disassortative mixing networks. We also introduce a numerical algorithm to construct an arbitrary joint degree distribution and generate a counterexample of disassortative mixing network that the result fails. Finally, a sufficient condition is given to guarantee that the SIR model in disassortative mixing networks yields smaller R-0. (C) 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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