Association of serum growth differentiation factor-15 levels with the risks of death and vascular events in patients with ischemic stroke: The role of diabetes

Background and aims: Researchers have not determined whether the association between growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) levels and stroke outcomes is modified by the diabetes status. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of GDF-15 among patients with ischemic stroke stratified by diabetes. Methods and results: A total of 3001 patients with ischemic stroke were selected from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke (CATIS) and included in this study. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of death and vascular events at 3 months after acute ischemic stroke. An elevated GDF-15 level was significantly associated with the primary outcome in patients with diabetes but not in those without diabetes (pinteraction = 0.038). The multivariateadjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals) for the primary outcome was 3.33 (1.07 -10.35) when 2 extreme tertiles were compared, and a linear association between GDF-15 levels and the primary outcome was observed in patients with diabetes (p for linearity = 0.046). The addition of serum GDF-15 to conventional risk factors improved the risk prediction for the primary outcome in patients with diabetes (net reclassification improvement: 31.98%, p = 0.043; integrated discrimination index: 0.85%, p = 0.034) but not in those without diabetes. Conclusions: A modifying effect of the diabetes status on the association between serum GDF-15 levels and ischemic stroke prognosis was observed. Elevated serum GDF-15 levels were associated with the primary outcome within 3 months after ischemic stroke in patients with diabetes, suggesting that GDF-15 may be an important prognostic factor for ischemic stroke in patients with diabetes. (c) 2021 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Automated summary

The association between GDF-15 levels and stroke prognosis differs based on diabetes status, with a significant association found in patients with diabetes but not in those without diabetes. Elevated serum GDF-15 levels may serve as an important prognostic factor for ischemic stroke in patients with diabetes.