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Using Models in Forensic Engineering: All Models Are Wrong, but Some Are Useful

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ASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)CF.1943-5509.0001730

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Computer models play a crucial role in both structural design and forensic analysis. During the design process, assumptions about loads and materials need to be made, whereas in investigating a failure, information about materials, structural configuration, and applied loads at the time of collapse can be known. Nonlinear models are a powerful tool for forensic investigations if used correctly. Numerous case studies have been published in the ASCE Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities or presented at the ASCE Forensics Congresses, providing an overview of modeling applications in forensic investigations and addressing associated issues.
Computer models are useful for both structural design and forensic analysis. In the process of design, loads and materials must be assumed. In contrast, when investigating a failure, it is possible to know the materials and structural configuration and the loads applied at the time of collapse. The necessary modeling is thus very different from the design process. Nonlinear models provide a powerful tool for forensic investigation, if they are used correctly. Many examples have been published in the American Society of Civil Engineers Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities (ASCE JPCF) or presented at the eight ASCE Forensics Congresses, held approximately every three years since 1997. This overview paper will review case studies of modeling applied to forensic investigations and examine some of the issues associated with the use of such models. (C) 2022 American Society of Civil Engineers.

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