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Mechanistic Models of COVID-19: Insights into Disease Progression, Vaccines, and Therapeutics

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ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2022.106606

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SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; Antiviral therapeutics; Vaccines; Quantitative systems pharmacology; Viral dynamics models

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The COVID-19 pandemic has had a severe impact on global health systems and economies. Efforts are underway to improve vaccine efficacy, optimize deployment, and develop new antiviral therapies. Mechanistic viral dynamics and pharmacology models have played a key role in advancing our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 and its variants, as well as the effectiveness of treatments and vaccines.
The COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted health systems and economies worldwide. Significant global effort s are therefore ongoing to improve vaccine efficacies, optimize vaccine deployment, and de-velop new antiviral therapies to combat the pandemic. Mechanistic viral dynamics and quantitative sys-tems pharmacology models of SARS-CoV-2 infection, vaccines, immunomodulatory agents, and antiviral therapeutics have played a key role in advancing our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 pathogenesis and transmission, the interplay between innate and adaptive immunity to influence the outcomes of infec-tion, effectiveness of treatments, mechanisms and performance of COVID-19 vaccines, and the impact of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants. Here, we review some of the critical insights provided by these models and discuss the challenges ahead.(c) 2022 Elsevier Ltd and International Society of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy. All rights reserved.

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