Which states will lead a just transition for the Arctic? A DeePeR analysis of global data on Arctic states and formal observer states

A fair and equitable low carbon future depends on a just transition which, in turn, requires leadership. Where the Arctic is concerned, this leadership is currently lacking. To gauge which states are most likely to provide leadership in the global energy transition, a quantitative rank-percentile assessment of 21 Arctic Council members and Observer states was conducted, using measures relevant to the just transition. Data from multiple open-access sources were combined, creating a model to 'evaluate energy and equity aspects of Distributional, Procedural and Restorative' justice (DeePeR). Results suggest normative leadership on a just transition for the Arctic comprises international climate contributions in line with carbon emission records and a commitment to both fair and green jobs. Reflections are made on the positive and negative effects of a more involved EU for the just transition agenda in the Arctic.

Automated summary

There is a lack of leadership in the Arctic region regarding a just transition. A quantitative assessment was conducted to determine which countries are most likely to provide leadership in the global energy transition. The results highlight the importance of international climate contributions and commitment to fair and green jobs for a just transition in the Arctic. The positive and negative effects of a more involved EU in the Arctic just transition agenda are also discussed.