4.7 Article

Consistent Trends in Dry Spell Length in Recent Observations and Future Projections

相关参考文献

注意:仅列出部分参考文献,下载原文获取全部文献信息。
Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble

Daniel L. R. Hodson et al.

Summary: This study examines the impacts of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) on climate using five coupled climate models. The results show that AMV affects climate through widespread warming over Eurasia and the Americas, cooling over the Pacific Ocean, and a northward displacement of the inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ). There are significant differences between models in their response to AMV forcing, particularly in the tropics. The study also finds that model horizontal resolution does not have a widespread effect on the climate response.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2022)

Article Ecology

Effects of Compounded Precipitation Pattern Intensification and Drought Occur Belowground in a Mesic Grassland

Ingrid J. Slette et al.

Summary: Climate change is altering precipitation regimes globally, leading to intensified precipitation patterns and more frequent and extreme droughts. A study on a mesic grassland in central US showed that long-term exposure to intensified precipitation patterns did not significantly affect the response of aboveground net primary production (ANPP) to subsequent extreme drought, but reduced root production and muted soil CO2 flux responses during drought. Compound changes in precipitation patterns and amount significantly reduced ecosystem carbon uptake in this grassland.

ECOSYSTEMS (2022)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability

Pieter A. Zuidema et al.

Summary: According to a pantropical tree-ring network, dry-season climate variability is a primary driver of tropical tree growth. The study found that woody biomass growth increases with dry-season precipitation and decreases with dry-season maximum temperature. The strength of these dry-season climate responses varies among sites and is influenced by drier, hotter, and more climatically variable regions.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2022)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The Physical Climate at Global Warming Thresholds as Seen in the UK Earth System Model

Ranjini Swaminathan et al.

Summary: The study investigates the likelihood of achieving the temperature targets set by the Paris Climate Agreement. It finds that most models project global warming beyond 2 degrees C by the end of the century, except for the lowest emission scenarios. The study also analyzes the regional and seasonal variations in climate at different warming levels, and identifies significant climate changes emerging by midcentury.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2022)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Evaluation of multiple indices of the South American monsoon

Isabel C. Correa et al.

Summary: This article evaluates multiple methods for estimating the onset and demise of the South American Monsoon System (SAMS) during 1979-2018, showing a delayed onset date and stable demise date. The shortening of the SAMS primarily depends on variations at the onset stage, while different indices exhibit sensitivity to the spatial domain considered for SAMS characterization.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Advances in CMIP6 INM-CM5 over CMIP5 INM-CM4 for precipitation simulation in South Korea

Young Hoon Song et al.

Summary: This study compared the historical and future simulations of precipitation in South Korea using different models, and identified differences in projections for different scenarios. Results showed that CMIP6 models performed better, with higher precipitation change rates and lower uncertainties in the future, particularly in the NW region. Differences between RCP4.5 and SSP2-4.5 were larger than between RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5.

ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change

Antonios Mamalakis et al.

Summary: Future changes in the position of the intertropical convergence zone due to climate change could have significant impacts on the livelihood and food security of billions of people worldwide. Research using state-of-the-art climate models projects a zonally varying shift of the ITCZ by 2100, with regions in eastern Africa and the Indian Ocean experiencing a northward movement, while the eastern Pacific and Atlantic oceans see a southward shift. This zonally varying response is consistent with changes in atmospheric energy transport and sector-mean shifts of the energy flux equator, providing valuable insight for more accurate climate change impact projections.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Recent intensification of extreme precipitation events in the La Plata Basin in Southern South America (1981-2018)

Wilmar L. Ceron et al.

Summary: The study analyzed changes and trends in extreme daily rainfall indices in the La Plata Basin during 1981-2018. It found a breaking point in the extreme precipitation indices in the southern LPB in 1999, leading to an increase in R10mm and a decrease in CDD. Positive correlations were observed between sea surface temperature in the Southwestern Subtropical Atlantic Region and R10mm in the LPB.

ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH (2021)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Future Changes in Wet and Dry Season Characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Simulations

Caroline M. Wainwright et al.

Summary: Climate change will lead to delays in wet seasons and increased dry spell lengths during the dry season in the tropics, with reduced rainfall and increased aridity. This may have detrimental effects on perennial crops due to fewer wet days and higher temperatures.

JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY (2021)

Review Environmental Studies

Unraveling the influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on drought and its response to climate change

Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano et al.

WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE (2020)

Review Multidisciplinary Sciences

Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change

Richard P. Allan et al.

ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions

Andrew P. Schurer et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The ERA5 global reanalysis

Hans Hersbach et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

CAS FGOALS-g3 Model Datasets for the CMIP6 Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP)

Ye Pu et al.

ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2020)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Observed changes in dry-season water availability attributed to human-induced climate change

Ryan S. Padron et al.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The GFDL Earth System Model Version 4.1 (GFDL-ESM 4.1): Overall Coupled Model Description and Simulation Characteristics

J. P. Dunne et al.

JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The poleward shift of South Atlantic Convergence Zone in recent decades

Marcia T. Zilli et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Effects of Deforestation on the Onset of the Rainy Season and the Duration of Dry Spells in Southern Amazonia

Argemiro Teixeira Leite-Filho et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

High Climate Sensitivity in the Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2)

A. Gettelman et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM-ESM2-1: Role of Earth System Processes in Present-Day and Future Climate

Roland Seferian et al.

JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Description and basic evaluation of simulated mean state, internal variability, and climate sensitivity in MIROC6

Hiroaki Tatebe et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projections

Filippo Giorgi et al.

EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The Meteorological Research Institute Earth System Model Version 2.0, MRI-ESM2.0: Description and Basic Evaluation of the Physical Component

Seiji Yukimoto et al.

JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM): the main progress from CMIP5 to CMIP6

Tongwen Wu et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2019)

Article Water Resources

Regional hydro-climatic changes in the Southern Amazon Basin (Upper Madeira Basin) during the 1982-2017 period

Jhan Carlo Espinoza et al.

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5.0.3)

Neil C. Swart et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Validation of CHIRPS precipitation dataset along the Central Andes of Argentina

Juan A. Rivera et al.

ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

West Africa climate extremes and climate change indices

A. A. Barry et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2018)

Review Plant Sciences

Drivers and mechanisms of tree mortality in moist tropical forests

Nate McDowell et al.

NEW PHYTOLOGIST (2018)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Trends in continental temperature and humidity directly linked to ocean warming

Michael P. Byrne et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Validation of the CHIRPS satellite rainfall estimates over eastern Africa

Tufa Dinku et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

Accuracy of CHIRPS Satellite-Rainfall Products over Mainland China

Lei Bai et al.

REMOTE SENSING (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

Land Use Change over the Amazon Forest and Its Impact on the Local Climate

Marta Llopart et al.

Article Mathematics, Applied

Simulation of the modern climate using the INM-CM48 climate model

Evgenii M. Volodin et al.

RUSSIAN JOURNAL OF NUMERICAL ANALYSIS AND MATHEMATICAL MODELLING (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Influence of decadal sea surface temperature variability on northern Brazil rainfall in CMIP5 simulations

Julian Villamayor et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2018)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The NUIST Earth System Model (NESM) version 3: description and preliminary evaluation

Jian Cao et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2018)

Article Ecology

Validating CHIRPS-based satellite precipitation estimates in Northeast Brazil

Franklin J. Paredes-Trejo et al.

JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS (2017)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Projected changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells in a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario

Salvatore Pascale et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2016)

Article Remote Sensing

Evaluation and comparison of satellite-based rainfall products in Burkina Faso, West Africa

Moctar Dembele et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING (2016)

Article Environmental Sciences

Land-atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming

Alexis Berg et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2016)

Article Environmental Sciences

Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models

E. M. Fischer et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2016)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization

Veronika Eyring et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2016)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) contribution to CMIP6

Nathan P. Gillett et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2016)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

Brian C. O'Neill et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2016)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Development and evaluation of CNRM Earth system model - CNRM-ESM1

Roland Seferian et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2016)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Recent observed and simulated changes in precipitation over Africa

Ross I. Maidment et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2015)

Article Environmental Sciences

Dominant role of greenhouse-gas forcing in the recovery of Sahel rainfall

Buwen Dong et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2015)

Article Environmental Sciences

Evaluation of Satellite Rainfall Estimates for Drought and Flood Monitoring in Mozambique

Carolien Tote et al.

REMOTE SENSING (2015)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Past and future rainfall in the Horn of Africa

Jessica E. Tierney et al.

SCIENCE ADVANCES (2015)

Article Environmental Sciences

Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850-2100

Chunlei Liu et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2013)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling

Yu Kosaka et al.

NATURE (2013)

Article Environmental Sciences

Changes in rainfall seasonality in the tropics

Xue Feng et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: Part 2. Future climate projections

J. Sillmann et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: Part 1. Model evaluation in the present climate

J. Sillmann et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2013)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Tracking the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation through the last 8,000 years

Mads Faurschou Knudsen et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2011)