4.7 Article

An explanatory parametric model to predict comprehensive post-commissioning building performances

期刊

BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT
卷 213, 期 -, 页码 -

出版社

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2022.108897

关键词

Building commissioning; Energy conservation; Expert system; Prediction model

资金

  1. Shanghai Pujiang Program [2020PJD074]
  2. National Natural Science Foundation of China [52078374, 52108090]
  3. Postdoctoral International Exchange Pro-gram from China Postdoc Council

向作者/读者索取更多资源

This paper introduces PECCO, a parametric mathematical model enriched with years of commissioning engineering experience to predict comprehensive EBCx outcomes for various types of public buildings. PECCO collects building parameters through a questionnaire and predicts commissioning outcomes including energy-saving potential, cost saving, asset value increase, and comfort improvement potential. The case studies show that PECCO's predictions are accurate.
Existing building commissioning (EBCx) is a promising approach to save energy and improve indoor environmental quality (IEQ) without sufficient attention yet. However, the uncertainty of building performance post retrofit leads to a low adoption rate of EBCx, as the commissioning outcomes are dependent on various factors and difficult to model. To facilitate decision-making on EBCx, this paper introduces PECCO, a parametric mathematical model enriched with years of commissioning engineering experience to predict comprehensive EBCx outcomes for various types of public buildings, along with a mobile-based tool to automate the prediction process. An 8-min questionnaire is used to collect building parameters regarding general, management, HVAC, smart system, IEQ, electrical, water supply, and building envelope. Then, a mathematical model predicts commissioning outcomes including energy-saving potential, annual cost saving, asset value increase, comfort improvement potential, operation risk, commissioning cost, simple payback period, and difficulty in commissioning, and provides overall commissioning strategies, specific commissioning suggestions, and benchmark figures compared with other buildings. Three case studies suggested that PECCO's prediction on the simple payback period achieved a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 15.47%, which is acceptable and comparable to other related studies. By providing various perspectives of information to building owners and managers, PECCO is helpful to foster the industry to undertake EBCx, leading to a more energy-efficient, low carbon building industry.

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