Short- and long-term effects of responsible investment growth on equity returns

Purpose The growth of socially responsible assets has been exponential over the last decade, they now account for almost a third of professional investments. As the growth persists, faith and conviction investors reshape the equity markets. To fully comprehend the impact of socially conscious participants on security returns, this paper attempts to provide insights on how responsible investment growth has impacted the returns of sustainable stocks. The examination is split by investment horizon to account for short and long effects. Design/methodology/approach Using an exclusive dataset of non-financial ratings, provided by MSCI ESG research, the authors examine the cross-sectional returns of US and European sustainability-leading and lagging corporations between 2007 and 2019. Panel models robust to country, firm-year and industry effects were then employed to examine the impact of responsible investment growth on future stock returns. Findings The authors find evidence that the impact of responsible investment growth is dual contingent upon the timeframe considered. In the short run, sustainability-leading and lagging firms display similar stock returns. However, the spread in returns is negative over long horizons and increasing over time. Originality/value The examination performed in this study highlights the significant effect of responsible investment growth on future stock returns. Overall, the authors' findings are consistent with the price pressure hypothesis in the short run and the cost of capital alteration over longer horizons.

Automated summary

This study examines the impact of responsible investment growth on future stock returns using non-financial ratings data of US and European companies from 2007 to 2019. The findings suggest that in the short term, sustainability-leading and lagging firms have similar stock returns, but the spread becomes negative over long horizons and increases over time. The results highlight the significant effect of responsible investment growth on future stock returns, supporting the price pressure hypothesis in the short run and the cost of capital alteration over longer horizons.