Predictors of Mortality in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients Complicated With Hypotension and Hypoxemia: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Introduction: COVID-19 patients with hypotension and hypoxemia had a significantly worse outcome. The purpose of this research was to ascertain the risk factors affecting the prognoses of these patients and to develop appropriate prognostic prediction tools. Methods: From March 1, 2020, to April 16, 2020, a retrospective cohort analysis of COVID-19 patients with hypotension and hypoxemia was performed. The univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the associated risk factors influencing the prognosis of COVID-19 patients with hypotension and hypoxemia, and the selected variables were then utilized to construct and validate the prediction model for these patients. Results: Three hundred and twenty-seven COVID-19 patients with hypotension and hypoxemia who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included in this study. Age, temperature, troponin, and blood glucose were related to mortality in COVID-19 patients with hypotension and hypoxemia in both univariate and multivariate analyses. The MFP model (multiple fractional polynomial model), full model, and stepwise model were utilized to build the prediction model, and their AUCs were, respectively, 0.902 (0.868, 0.936), 0.902 (0.868, 0.936), and 0.902 (0.868, 0.936). Because the sample size for this research was limited, we utilized bootstrapping for internal validation. The AUCs of Bootstrap full and Bootstrap stepwise were 0.902 (0.867, 0.936) and 0.902 (0.868, 0.936), respectively. Conclusion: Age, temperature, troponin, and blood glucose levels were associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients with hypotension and hypoxemia. Additionally, the prediction model developed using the variables above showed a high predictive value for predicting the prognosis of these individuals.

Automated summary

Patients with COVID-19 who experience hypotension and hypoxemia have a worse prognosis, with age, temperature, troponin, and blood glucose levels being associated with mortality. The prediction model developed using these factors shows high predictive value for forecasting the outcomes of these individuals.