Survival Benefit of Resection Surgery for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma with Liver Metastases: A Propensity Score-Matched SEER Database Analysis

Simple Summary Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is a devastating illness but guidelines consider it unresectable once metastasized. However, resection of the primary tumor is carried out in select cases and retrospective analyses indicate that this may improve survival. Even so, these analyses are limited to single centers or fail to account for biased patient selection. We overcome these limitations with a propensity score-matched SEER database analysis that reliably demonstrates surgery can extend overall survival. Furthermore, we identify prognostic factors that could aid the selection of patients for randomized controlled trials. Thus, this study paves the way for future work that aims to update treatment guidelines in accordance with surgical developments. Guidelines do not recommend resection surgery for oligometastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, reports in small samples of selected patients suggest that surgery extends survival. Thus, this study aims to gather evidence for the benefits of cancer-directed surgery (CDS) by analyzing a national cohort and identifying prognostic factors that aid the selection of candidates for CDS or recruitment into experimental trials. Data for patients with PDAC and hepatic metastasis were extracted from the population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER). The bias between CDS and non-CDS groups was minimized with Propensity Score Matching (PSM), and the prognostic role of CDS was investigated by comparing Kaplan-Meier estimators and Cox proportional hazard models. A total of 12,018 patients were extracted from the database, including 259 patients who underwent CDS that were 1:1 propensity score-matched with patients who did not receive CDS. CDS appeared to significantly prolong median overall survival from 5 to 10 months. Multivariate analysis revealed chemotherapy as a protective prognostic, whilst survival was impaired by old age and tumors that were poorly differentiated (Grades III-IV). These factors can be used to select patients likely to benefit from CDS treatment, which may facilitate recruitment into randomized controlled trials.

Automated summary

This study demonstrates that surgery can extend overall survival and identifies prognostic factors for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. The findings may aid in the selection of patients for surgery and recruitment into clinical trials.