Statistical Modeling for PM10, PM2.5 and PM1 at Gangneung Affected by Local Meteorological Variables and PM10 and PM2.5 at Beijing for Non- and Dust Periods

Multiple statistical prediction modeling of PM10, PM2.5 and PM1 at Gangneung city, Korea, was performed in association with local meteorological parameters (air temperature, wind speed and relative humidity) and PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations of an upwind site in Beijing, China, in the transport route of Chinese yellow dusts which originated from the Gobi Desert and passed through Beijing to the city from 18 March to 27 March 2015. Before and after the dust periods, the PM10, PM2.5 and PM1 concentrations showed as being very high at 09:00 LST (the morning rush hour) by the increasing emitted pollutants from vehicles and flying dust from the road and their maxima occurred at 20:00 to 22:00 LST (the evening departure time) from the additional pollutants from resident heating boilers. During the dust period, these peak trends were not found due to the persistent accumulation of dust in the city from the Gobi Desert through Beijing, China, as shown in real-time COMS-AI satellite images. Multiple correlation coefficients among PM10, PM2.5 and PM1 at Gangneung were in the range of 0.916 to 0.998. Multiple statistical models were devised to predict each PM concentration, and the significant levels through multi-regression analyses were p < 0.001, showing all the coefficients to be significant. The observed and calculated PM concentrations were compared, and new linear regression models were sequentially suggested to reproduce the original observed PM values with improved correlation coefficients, to some extent.

Automated summary

The study conducted multiple statistical prediction modeling of PM10, PM2.5, and PM1 in Gangneung city, Korea, in association with local meteorological parameters and concentrations from an upwind site in Beijing, China. It was found that PM concentrations showed different peak trends before and after the yellow dust period, with significant changes in emission sources. New linear regression models were suggested to improve the correlation coefficients between the observed and calculated PM concentrations.