Smallholder Farmers' Perceived Climate-Related Risk, Impact, and Their Choices of Sustainable Adaptation Strategies

Bangladesh is one of the most climate-vulnerable countries on the globe. The country is frequently affected by numerous climatic events including floods, droughts, cyclones, etc., which damages the farm household's livelihood and socio-economic condition. Therefore, this work intends to appraise the smallholder farmers' perceived climate-related risk, impact, and the factors that influence their choices of adaptation strategies to cope with the adverse impact of the climatic extreme events in northern Bangladesh. Survey data were collected from 300 respondents from two drought-prone districts of northern Bangladesh in January-February 2020. The climate-related risk perception index (CRRPI) was constructed to assess the farmers' perceived risk. The multinominal logit (MNL) model was employed to explore the factors influencing farmers' choices of adaptation strategies. Farmers' perceptions of climate change risk were found to be consistent with meteorological data in the research area. Results of the CRRPI revealed that flood, drought, riverbank erosion, and heat waves were the critical risks perceived by the farmers. Farmers used a variety of adaptation measures to deal with these climatic threats, including agricultural diversification, changes in fertilizer and insecticides, and crop and seed changes. The MNL model results showed that the factors that influenced a farmer's choices of adaptation strategies were age, education level, family members, income level, year of farming experience, and the farmer's information on climate change. This study also demonstrated that water scarcity in the dry period and the frequency of crop diseases were the major limiting factors experienced by the farmers whilst undertaking adaptation strategies. Thus, awareness and capacity building through training and support to adopt the adaptation strategies are essential to enhance the resilience of the farmers.

Automated summary

This study evaluates the perceived climate-related risks and impacts on smallholder farmers in northern Bangladesh, as well as factors influencing their adaptation strategies. Farmers perceive flood, drought, riverbank erosion, and heat waves as critical risks and employ measures like agricultural diversification and changes in inputs. Factors such as age, education level, and income influence farmers' choices of adaptation strategies. Limited water availability and crop diseases are main constraints experienced by farmers during adaptation efforts, highlighting the need for awareness and capacity building.