期刊
WATER
卷 13, 期 19, 页码 -出版社
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/w13192747
关键词
river streamflow change; Eastern Siberia; trend analysis; permafrost hydrology; Aldan river; climate change
资金
- Russian Federation Grant for young Russian scientists [MK-5330.2021.1.5]
- FORMAS [DNR: 2019-02332]
- RFBR [20-55-71005]
- JST [JPMJBF2003]
This study estimated the monthly discharge changes of 11 river catchments in the Aldan River basin in Eastern Siberia, finding that longer samples tend to show more positive trends, and larger basins have more positive trends than smaller ones. The trends in monthly streamflow have prominent seasonality, with no positive trends in June and an increasing fraction of positive trends from October to April.
The flow of large northern rivers has increased, but regional patterns of changes are not well understood. The aim of this study is the estimation of monthly discharge changes of the 11 river catchments in the Aldan River basin in Eastern Siberia, the largest Lena River tributary and the sixth largest river in Russia. We considered the trend dependence on month, number of years in the sample, finish and start years, and basin area. The median fraction of samples with no trend, positive and negative trends are 70.5%, 28.5%, and 1%, respectively. Longer samples tend to show more positive trends than shorter ones. There is an increasing fraction of samples with positive trends as a function of later sample end year, whereas the start year does not result in a similar pattern. The larger basins, with one exception, have more positive trends than smaller ones. The trends in monthly streamflow have prominent seasonality with absence of positive trends in June and increasing fraction of samples with positive trends from October till April. The study reports the recent streamflow changes on the rarely analyzed rivers in Eastern Siberia, where air temperature rises faster than in average on the globe. The study results are important for water resources management in the region and better understanding of current environmental changes.
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