期刊
REMOTE SENSING
卷 13, 期 22, 页码 -出版社
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/rs13224589
关键词
deforestation; armed conflict; geopolitics; LULCC; political ecology; Myanmar
类别
资金
- NASA Land Cover and Land Use Change Program [NNX17AI14G]
The study found that factors influencing deforestation include armed conflict, geopolitics, national political economic reforms and timber regulations, and proximity to national borders and their respective geopolitical relations. There are three common periods of deforestation spikes in northern and southern Myanmar, but significant differences exist between regions as well as within townships and village tracts.
Armed conflict and geopolitics are a driving force of Land Use and Land Cover Change (LULCC), but with considerable variation in deforestation trends between broader and finer scales of analysis. Remotely-sensed annual deforestation rates from 1989 to 2018 are presented at the national and (sub-) regional scales for Kachin State in the north of Myanmar and in Kayin State and Tanintharyi Region in the southeast. We pair our multiscaled remote sensing analysis with our multisited political ecology approach where we conducted field-based interviews in study sites between 2018 and 2020. Our integrated analysis identified three common periods of deforestation spikes at the national and state/region level, but with some notable disparities between regions as well as across and within townships and village tracts. We found the rate and geography of deforestation were most influenced by the territorial jurisdictions of armed authorities, national political economic reforms and timber regulations, and proximity to national borders and their respective geopolitical relations. The absence or presence of ceasefires in the north and southeast did not solely explain deforestation patterns. Rather than consider ceasefire or war as a singular explanatory variable effecting forest cover change, we demonstrate the need to analyze armed conflict as a dynamic multisited and diffuse phenomenon, which is simultaneously integrated into broader political economy and geopolitical forces.
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