期刊
出版社
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19010436
关键词
risk perception; optimism bias; unrealistic optimism; COVID-19; pandemic; Europe
资金
- EPIPOSE (Epidemic intelligence to minimize COVID-19s public health, societal and economic impact) H2020-SC1-PHE-CORONAVIRUS-2020 call
This study investigates unrealistic optimism during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe, its changes over time, and its association with protective measures. The findings show the prevalence of unrealistic optimism influenced by the epidemic context. While absolute unrealistic optimism decreased over time, comparative unrealistic optimism increased, indicating accurate personal risk assessment but overestimation of others' risk. Comparative unrealistic optimism was negatively associated with the adoption of protective behaviors.
Unrealistic optimism, the underestimation of one's risk of experiencing harm, has been investigated extensively to understand better and predict behavioural responses to health threats. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, a relative dearth of research existed in this domain regarding epidemics, which is surprising considering that this optimistic bias has been associated with a lack of engagement in protective behaviours critical in fighting twenty-first-century, emergent, infectious diseases. The current study addresses this gap in the literature by investigating whether people demonstrated optimism bias during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe, how this changed over time, and whether unrealistic optimism was negatively associated with protective measures. Taking advantage of a pre-existing international participative influenza surveillance network (n = 12,378), absolute and comparative unrealistic optimism were measured at three epidemic stages (pre-, early, peak), and across four countries-France, Italy, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. Despite differences in culture and health response, similar patterns were observed across all four countries. The prevalence of unrealistic optimism appears to be influenced by the particular epidemic context. Paradoxically, whereas absolute unrealistic optimism decreased over time, comparative unrealistic optimism increased, suggesting that whilst people became increasingly accurate in assessing their personal risk, they nonetheless overestimated that for others. Comparative unrealistic optimism was negatively associated with the adoption of protective behaviours, which is worrying, given that these preventive measures are critical in tackling the spread and health burden of COVID-19. It is hoped these findings will inspire further research into sociocognitive mechanisms involved in risk appraisal.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据