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Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects

期刊

SCIENCE
卷 374, 期 6563, 页码 48-+

出版社

AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/science.aay9165

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资金

  1. Earth System and Climate Change Hub of the Australian National Environmental Science Programme
  2. Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research
  3. CSIRO
  4. Agence Nationale de la Recherche ARISE project [ANR-18-CE01-0012]
  5. Belmont project GOTHAM [ANR-15-JCLI-0004-01]
  6. Make Our Planet Great Again project ARCHANGE [ANR-18-MPGA-0001]
  7. NOAA Climate Program Office's Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP)
  8. Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) programs
  9. Australian Research Council [FT160100162, DP20]
  10. UK's Natural Environment Research Council [NE/N018486/1, NE/N005783/1, 5031]
  11. Regional and Global Model Analysis (RGMA) component of the Earth and Environmental System Modeling Program of the US Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research through National Science Foundation (NSF) [IA 1844590]
  12. NSF [1852977]
  13. NOAA Climate Program Office's MAPP program [NA17OAR4310149]
  14. NSF Physical Oceanography Program [OCE-1756883]
  15. US Department of Energy [0000238382]
  16. National Natural Science Foundation of China [42088101, 42030605]
  17. Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme - BEIS
  18. DEFRA
  19. National Research Foundation of Korea [NRF-2018R1A5A1024958]
  20. NOAA's Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing Program [NA20OAR4320278]
  21. Australian Research Council Linkage Project [LP150100062]
  22. Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR) [ANR-18-MPGA-0001] Funding Source: Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR)
  23. Australian Research Council [FT160100162] Funding Source: Australian Research Council
  24. National Research Foundation of Korea [5199990214041, 2018R1A5A1024958] Funding Source: Korea Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI), National Science & Technology Information Service (NTIS)
  25. NERC [NE/N005783/1] Funding Source: UKRI

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Climate variability in the tropical Pacific, including the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on interannual time scales and the tropical Pacific decadal variability (TPDV) on decadal time scales, profoundly affects global climate.
Climate variability in the tropical Pacific affects global climate on a wide range of time scales. On interannual time scales, the tropical Pacific is home to the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Decadal variations and changes in the tropical Pacific, referred to here collectively as tropical Pacific decadal variability (TPDV), also profoundly affect the climate system. Here, we use TPDV to refer to any form of decadal climate variability or change that occurs in the atmosphere, the ocean, and over land within the tropical Pacific. Decadal, which we use in a broad sense to encompass multiyear through multidecadal time scales, includes variability about the mean state on decadal time scales, externally forced mean-state changes that unfold on decadal time scales, and decadal variations in the behavior of higher-frequency modes like ENSO.

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