期刊
SAFETY SCIENCE
卷 146, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105567
关键词
Path dependence; Decision-making; Simulation exercise; Gaming; Reliability; Critical infrastructure; Policymaking; Sustainability; Crisis management
资金
- Academy of Finland's Strategic Research Council [312623, 312624, 312625, 312626]
- Academy of Finland [338553, 338558]
- Academy of Finland (AKA) [312625, 312626, 338558, 338553, 312623, 312625, 312623, 312626] Funding Source: Academy of Finland (AKA)
The article discusses the challenges posed by changes in complex human-environmental systems to society, proposing the Policy Operations Room (POR) framework to help policymakers make more effective, evidence-based decisions to address future challenges.
The magnitude and speed of change in complex human-environmental systems pose a systemic dilemma for societies. Human-induced environmental changes have pushed Earth's socio-ecological systems into an era of chronic, complex, and rapid disruptions, which call for quick intuitive decisions and effective implementation. Yet the complexity, interconnectedness and long lead times of the problems would require thoughtful and time-consuming weighing of evidence by a broad range of experts. To address the dilemma, we develop a framework, the Policy Operations Room (POR), for simultaneous practice and analysis of decision-making that prevents decisions made under time pressure from leading to unwanted socio-ecological disruptions decades ahead. The POR framework is based on earlier research on control rooms of critical infrastructures and simulation exercises of emergency response, and preliminary data from our first experiments with PORs. It immerses the policymakers in a simulated time machine that combines the real-time reliability management of control rooms with the long-term planning for crisis avoidance and preparedness. The POR framework can contribute significantly to novel styles of decision-making by policymakers, engineers, and corporate strategists responsible for developing urgent, forward-looking, and evidence-based policies to cope with the coming challenges of humanenvironmental interaction.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据