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A review of methods to evaluate crop model performance at multiple and changing spatial scales

期刊

PRECISION AGRICULTURE
卷 23, 期 4, 页码 1489-1513

出版社

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11119-022-09885-4

关键词

Spatialization; Scaling methods; Crop model uncertainty; Sensitivity analysis; Spatial pattern

资金

  1. French National Research Agency under the Investments for the Future Program [ANR-16-CONV-0004]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Crop models are useful tools for understanding complex processes through simulation. With the availability of new spatial data in modern agriculture, these models are increasingly being used at multiple scales. This article reviews the reasons for spatializing crop models and the methods used, and focuses on the evaluation of these models. It suggests that traditional evaluation methods may not be sufficient and discusses the potential for complementary evaluation in precision agriculture.
Crop models are useful tools because they can help understand many complex processes by simulating them. They are mainly designed at a specific spatial scale, the field. But with the new spatial data being made available in modern agriculture, they are being more and more applied at multiple and changing scales. These applications range from typically at broader scales, to perform regional or national studies, or at finer scales to develop modern site-specific management approaches. These new approaches to the application of crop models raise new questions concerning the evaluation of their performance, particularly for downscaled applications. This article first reviews the reasons why practitioners decide to spatialize crop models and the main methods they have used to do this, which questions the best place of the spatialization process in the modelling framework. A strong focus is then given to the evaluation of these spatialized crop models. Evaluation metrics, including the consideration of dedicated sensitivity indices are reviewed from the published studies. Using a simple example of a spatialized crop model being used to define management zones in precision viticulture, it is shown that classical model evaluation involving aspatial indices (e.g. the RMSE) is not sufficient to characterize the model performance in this context. A focus is made at the end of the review on potentialities that a complementary evaluation could bring in a precision agriculture context.

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