4.5 Article

Methane removal and the proportional reductions in surface temperature and ozone

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ROYAL SOC
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0104

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methane oxidation; methane-climate responses; methane-ozone responses; negative emissions; methane mitigation

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This study examines the potential advantages of methane removal as a key supplementary technology in mitigating climate change. The research highlights that methane removal can reduce temperature more rapidly than carbon dioxide removal, improve air quality, and provide important insights for future climate policy formulations.
Mitigating climate change requires a diverse portfolio of technologies and approaches, including negative emissions or removal of greenhouse gases. Previous literature focuses primarily on carbon dioxide removal, but methane removal may be an important complement to future efforts. Methane removal has at least two key benefits: reducing temperature more rapidly than carbon dioxide removal and improving air quality by reducing surface ozone concentration. While some removal technologies are being developed, modelling of their impacts is limited. Here, we conduct the first simulations using a methane emissions-driven Earth System Model to quantify the climate and air quality co-benefits of methane removal, including different rates and timings of removal. We define a novel metric, the effective cumulative removal, and use it to show that each effective petagram of methane removed causes a mean global surface temperature reduction of 0.21 +/- 0.04 degrees C and a mean global surface ozone reduction of 1.0 +/- 0.2 parts per billion. Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of methane removal in delaying warming thresholds and reducing peak temperatures, and also allow for direct comparisons between the impacts of methane and carbon dioxide removal that could guide future research and climate policy.This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Rising methane: is warming feeding warming? (part 1)'.

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