Identification and validation of a hypoxia-related prognostic signature in clear cell renal cell carcinoma patients

Increasing evidence has shown that hypoxia is closely related to the development, progression, and prognosis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). Nevertheless, reliable prognostic signatures based on hypoxia have not been well-established. This study aimed to establish a hypoxia-related prognostic signature and construct an optimized nomogram for patients with ccRCC. We accessed hallmark gene sets of hypoxia, including 200 genes, and an original RNA seq dataset of ccRCC cases with integrated clinical information obtained by mining the Cancer Genome Atlas database and the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) database. Univariate Cox regression analysis and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression were performed to identify prognostic hub genes and further established prognostic model as well as visualized the nomogram. External validation of the optimized nomogram was performed in independent cohorts from the ICGC database. ANKZF1, ETS1, PLAUR, SERPINE1, FBP1, and PFKP were selected as prognostic hypoxia-related hub genes, and the prognostic model effectively distinguishes high-risk and low-risk patients with ccRCC. The results of receiver operating characteristic curve, risk plots, survival analysis, and independent analysis suggested that RiskScore was a useful tool and independent predictive factor. A novel prognosis nomogram optimized via RiskScore showed its promising performance in both the Cancer Genome Atlas-ccRCC cohort and an ICGC-ccRCC cohort. Our study reveals that the differential expressions of hypoxia-related genes are associated with the overall survival of patients with ccRCC. The prognostic model we established showed a good predictive and discerning ability in ccRCC patients. The novel nomogram optimized via RiskScore exhibited a promising predictive ability. It may be able to serve as a visualized tool for guiding clinical decisions and selecting effective individualized treatments.

Automated summary

The study established a hypoxia-related prognostic signature and an optimized nomogram for clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) patients, effectively distinguishing high-risk and low-risk patients. The novel nomogram optimized via RiskScore exhibited promising predictive ability in both Cancer Genome Atlas-ccRCC and ICGC-ccRCC cohorts.