Quantitative assessment of circulating tumor cells in cerebrospinal fluid as a clinical tool to predict survival in leptomeningeal metastases

Purpose Circulating tumor cells in cerebrospinal fluid are a quantitative diagnostic tool for leptomeningeal metastases from solid tumors, but their prognostic significance is unclear. Our objective was to evaluate CSF-CTC quantification in predicting outcomes in LM. Methods This is a single institution retrospective study of patients with solid tumors who underwent CSF-CTC quantification using the CellSearch(R) platform between 04/2016 and 06/2019. Information on neuroaxis imaging, CSF results, and survival was collected. LM was diagnosed by MRI and/or CSF cytology. Survival analyses were performed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling, and CSF-CTC splits associated with survival were identified through recursive partitioning analysis. Results Out of 290 patients with CNS metastases, we identified a cohort of 101 patients with newly diagnosed LM. In this group, CSF-CTC count (median 200 CTCs/3 ml) predicted survival continuously (HR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009, p = 0.0027), and the risk of mortality doubled (HR = 2.84, 95% CI: 1.45-5.56, p = 0.0023) at the optimal cutoff of >= 61 CSF-CTCs/3 ml. Neuroimaging findings of LM (assessed by 3 independent neuroradiologists) were associated with a higher CSF-CTC count (median CSF-CTCs range 1.5-4 for patients without radiographic LM vs 200 for patients with radiographic LM, p < 0.001), but did not predict survival. Conclusion Our data shows that CSF-CTCs quantification predicts survival in newly diagnosed LM, and outperforms neuroimaging. CSF-CTC analysis can be used as a prognostic tool in patients with LM and provides quantitative assessment of disease burden in the CNS compartment.

Automated summary

The quantification of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is a useful tool for predicting outcomes in patients with leptomeningeal metastases (LM) from solid tumors. This study found that CSF-CTC count can continuously predict survival in newly diagnosed LM, and it outperforms neuroimaging in terms of prognostic capability. CSF-CTC analysis provides a quantitative assessment of disease burden in the CNS compartment.