Spatiotemporal characteristics of agricultural droughts based on soil moisture data in Inner Mongolia from 1981 to 2019

As the critical parameter of the agricultural drought process, soil moisture (SM) has the potential to monitor agricultural drought, which can provide practical support for water management. In this study, a drought index, namely Soil Dryness Index (SDI), was proposed based on long-term gridded ERA-5 land SM, and its performance was evaluated. Furthermore, we employed the run theory and copula to study the spatiotemporal drought characteristics based on this index in Inner Mongolia. Although the return period of drought events has been assessed in many studies, the drought tends to occur with a nonstationary frequency. The wavelet transform was then applied to drought area proportion time series in sub-regions to study the temporal characteristics of droughts. The results show that SDI performs well in monitoring agricultural drought. There is strong heterogeneity in the spatial distribution of drought events. Frequent and low-severity droughts dominated arid and semi-arid regions, while some high-severity droughts mainly occurred in humid and semi-humid regions (mainly in Hulunbuir and Xing'an). The droughts, especially those with high severity, have become much more frequent in the last two decades. The period from 2000 to 2010 had seen more frequent droughts in recent 40 years, and most 20-year return period droughts occurred during this period. These findings could contribute to a better understanding of spatiotemporal patterns of agricultural droughts and provide a reference for future drought trends in Inner Mongolia.

Automated summary

A drought index based on soil moisture was proposed to effectively monitor agricultural drought, revealing the nonstationary frequency of drought events and significant spatial heterogeneity. Severe drought events, particularly in the last two decades, have become more frequent, with the period from 2000 to 2010 seeing an increase in drought occurrences, providing insights for future drought trends in Inner Mongolia.