4.3 Article

Population genetic structure of the Natterjack toad (Epidalea calamita) in Ireland: implications for conservation management

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Will predicted positive effects of climate change be enough to reverse declines of the regionally Endangered Natterjack toad in Ireland?

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Summary: The global amphibian crisis is driven by various stressors, with climate change likely influencing environmental suitability, ranges, reproduction, and phenology. This study focused on characterizing the bioclimatic-habitat niche space of the Natterjack toad in Europe and assessing the impact of climate on its environmental suitability and breeding behavior. Projections suggest that future climate change may increase fecundity in Ireland, with spawning potentially commencing earlier under high greenhouse gas emission scenarios.

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