Bayesian analysis for single-server Markovian queues based on the No-U-Turn sampler

Traffic intensity is one of the most critical parameters of single-server Markovian queues. This paper deals with the Bayesian inference for the M/M/1 queue by sampling from the posterior distribution. The No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) is a recently developed Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, which is proposed to compute the traffic intensity by observing the number of customers in the system at the departure epoch. Numerical results show that the NUTS outperforms the other algorithms in the literature.

Automated summary

This paper uses the NUTS algorithm to perform Bayesian inference for the traffic intensity of the M/M/1 queue. The results show that the NUTS algorithm outperforms other algorithms.