期刊
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON AEROSPACE AND ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS
卷 52, 期 5, 页码 2313-2330出版社
IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
DOI: 10.1109/TAES.2016.150596
关键词
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资金
- NATO Allied Command Transformation (ACT)
We present a novel method for predicting long-term target states based on mean-reverting stochastic processes. We use the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, leading to a revised target state equation and to a time scaling law for the related uncertainty that in the long term is shown to be orders of magnitude lower than under the nearly constant velocity (NCV) assumption. In support of the proposed model, an analysis of a significant portion of real-world maritime traffic is provided.
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