期刊
BRITISH JOURNAL OF SURGERY
卷 102, 期 3, 页码 148-158出版社
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1002/bjs.9736
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资金
- National Institute for Health Research Senior Investigator Award
- Cancer Research UK [C5529]
- Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research [ZONMW 918.10.615, 91208004]
- Medical Research Council [G1100513]
- MRC [G1100513] Funding Source: UKRI
- Cancer Research UK [16895] Funding Source: researchfish
- Medical Research Council [G1100513] Funding Source: researchfish
- National Institute for Health Research [NF-SI-0513-10131, NF-SI-0508-10259] Funding Source: researchfish
BackgroundPrediction models are developed to aid healthcare providers in estimating the probability or risk that a specific disease or condition is present (diagnostic models) or that a specific event will occur in the future (prognostic models), to inform their decision-making. However, the overwhelming evidence shows that the quality of reporting of prediction model studies is poor. Only with full and clear reporting of information on all aspects of a prediction model can risk of bias and potential usefulness of prediction models be adequately assessed. The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Initiative developed a set of recommendations for the reporting of studies developing, validating or updating a prediction model, whether for diagnostic or prognostic purposes. This article describes how the TRIPOD Statement was developed. MethodsAn extensive list of items based on a review of the literature was created, which was reduced after a web-based survey and revised during a 3-day meeting in June 2011 with methodologists, healthcare professionals and journal editors. The list was refined during several meetings of the steering group and in e-mail discussions with the wider group of TRIPOD contributors. ResultsThe resulting TRIPOD Statement is a checklist of 22 items, deemed essential for transparent reporting of a prediction model study. ConclusionThe TRIPOD Statement aims to improve the transparency of the reporting of a prediction model study regardless of the study methods used. The TRIPOD Statement is best used in conjunction with the TRIPOD explanation and elaboration document. A complete checklist is available at http://www.tripod-statement.org.
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