Myocardial Work Assessment for the Prediction of Prognosis in Advanced Heart Failure

Objectives: The aim of this study was to investigate whether echocardiographic assessment of myocardial work is a predictor of outcome in advanced heart failure. Background: Global work index (GWI) and global constructive work (GCW) are calculated by means of speckle tracking, blood pressure measurement, and a normalized reference curve. Their prognostic value in advanced heart failure is unknown. Methods: Cardiopulmonary exercise testing and echocardiography with assessment of GWI and GCW was performed in patients with advanced heart failure caused by ischemic heart disease or dilated cardiomyopathy (n = 105). They were then followed up repeatedly. The combined endpoint was all-cause death, implantation of a left ventricular assist device, or heart transplantation. Results: The median patient age was 54 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 48-59.9). The mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 27.8 +/- 8.2%, the median NT-proBNP was 1,210 pg/ml (IQR: 435-3,696). The mean GWI was 603 +/- 329 mmHg% and the mean GCW was 742 +/- 363 mmHg%. The correlation between peak oxygen uptake and GWI as well as GCW was strongest in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (r = 0.56, p = 0.001 and r = 0.53, p = 0.001, respectively). The median follow-up was 16 months (IQR: 12-18.5). Thirty one patients met the combined endpoint: Four patients died, eight underwent transplantation, and 19 underwent implantation of a left ventricular assist device. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, only NYHA class, NT-proBNP and GWI (hazard ratio [HR] for every 50 mmHg%: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.77-0.94; p = 0.002) as well as GCW (HR for every 50 mmHg%: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.79-0.94; p = 0.001) were identified as independent predictors of the endpoint. The cut-off value for predicting the outcome was 455 mmHg% for GWI (AUC: 0.80; p < 0.0001; sensitivity 77.4%; specificity 71.6%) and 530 mmHg% for GCW (AUC: 0.80; p < 0.0001; sensitivity 74.2%; specificity 78.4%). Conclusions: GWI and GCW are powerful predictors of outcome in patients with advanced heart failure.

Automated summary

In patients with advanced heart failure, GWI and GCW are powerful predictors of outcome. NYHA class, NT-proBNP, GWI, and GCW were identified as independent predictors of the combined endpoint, with specific cut-off values for predicting the outcome.