FDA-Approved and Emerging Next Generation Predictive Biomarkers for Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Cancer Patients

A patient's response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is a complex quantitative trait, and determined by multiple intrinsic and extrinsic factors. Three currently FDA-approved predictive biomarkers (progra1mmed cell death ligand-1 (PD-L1); microsatellite instability (MSI); tumor mutational burden (TMB)) are routinely used for patient selection for ICI response in clinical practice. Although clinical utility of these biomarkers has been demonstrated in ample clinical trials, many variables involved in using these biomarkers have poised serious challenges in daily practice. Furthermore, the predicted responders by these three biomarkers only have a small percentage of overlap, suggesting that each biomarker captures different contributing factors to ICI response. Optimized use of currently FDA-approved biomarkers and development of a new generation of predictive biomarkers are urgently needed. In this review, we will first discuss three widely used FDA-approved predictive biomarkers and their optimal use. Secondly, we will review four novel gene signature biomarkers: T-cell inflamed gene expression profile (GEP), T-cell dysfunction and exclusion gene signature (TIDE), melanocytic plasticity signature (MPS) and B-cell focused gene signature. The GEP and TIDE have shown better predictive performance than PD-L1, and PD-L1 or TMB, respectively. The MPS is superior to PD-L1, TMB, and TIDE. The B-cell focused gene signature represents a previously unexplored predictive biomarker to ICI response. Thirdly, we will highlight two combined predictive biomarkers: TMB+GEP and MPS+TIDE. These integrated biomarkers showed improved predictive outcomes compared to a single predictor. Finally, we will present a potential nucleic acid biomarker signature, allowing DNA and RNA biomarkers to be analyzed in one assay. This comprehensive signature could represent a future direction of developing robust predictive biomarkers, particularly for the cold tumors, for ICI response.

Automated summary

The response to immune checkpoint inhibitors is a complex quantitative trait determined by multiple factors, for which FDA-approved biomarkers are used for patient selection. However, challenges in daily practice and the different factors captured by the biomarkers highlight the need for optimized use of current biomarkers and development of new predictive biomarkers. Various gene signature biomarkers and combined predictive biomarkers have shown improved performance compared to single predictors, suggesting a potential direction for robust predictive biomarker development for ICI response.