期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 43, 期 7, 页码 3438-3443出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL067448
关键词
-
资金
- Australian Research Council [CE110001028, DE140100952]
- Korea Meteorological Administration RD Program [KMIPA 2015-2082]
- NCI facility in Australia
- Australian Research Council [DE140100952] Funding Source: Australian Research Council
Climate scientists have demonstrated that a substantial fraction of the probability of numerous recent extreme events may be attributed to human-induced climate change. However, it is likely that for temperature extremes occurring over previous decades a fraction of their probability was attributable to anthropogenic influences. We identify the first record-breaking warm summers and years for which a discernible contribution can be attributed to human influence. We find a significant human contribution to the probability of record-breaking global temperature events as early as the 1930s. Since then, all the last 16 record-breaking hot years globally had an anthropogenic contribution to their probability of occurrence. Aerosol-induced cooling delays the timing of a significant human contribution to record-breaking events in some regions. Without human-induced climate change recent hot summers and years would be very unlikely to have occurred.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据