期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 43, 期 16, 页码 8775-8782出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070470
关键词
global change; atmospheric processes
资金
- National Science Foundation (NSF)
- Regional and Global Climate Modeling Program (RGCM) of the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research (BER) [DE-FC02-97ER62402]
- National Science Foundation
- Office of Science of the Department of Energy [DE-AC05-00OR22725]
The latitude of landfall for atmospheric rivers (ARs) is examined in the fully coupled half-degree version of the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4) for warm future climate simulations. Two regions are examined: U.S. West Coast/North Pacific ARs and United Kingdom/North Atlantic ARs. Changes in AR landfall-latitude reflect changes in the atmospheric steering flow. West Coast U.S. ARs are projected to push equatorward in response to the subtropical jet climate change. UK AR response is dominated by eddy-driven jets and is seasonally dependent. UK simulated AR response is modest in the winter with the largest relative changes occurring in the seasonal transition months. Precipitation associated with ARs is also projected to increase in intensity under global warming. CCSM4 projects a marked shift to higher rainfall rates for Southern California. Small to modest rainfall rates may increase for all UK latitudes, for the Pacific Northwest, and central and northern California.
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