期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 43, 期 17, 页码 9138-9147出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069494
关键词
storm surge; tides; storm tides; Cape Fear River Estuary; tropical cyclones
资金
- Office of Naval Research [N00014-13-1-0084]
- U.S. Army Corps of Engineers [W1927N-14-2-0015]
- National Science Foundation [1455350]
- Division Of Ocean Sciences
- Directorate For Geosciences [1455350] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
In this study we investigate the hypothesis that increasing channel depth in estuaries can amplify both tides and storm surge by developing an idealized numerical model representing the 1888, 1975, and 2015 bathymetric conditions of the Cape Fear River Estuary, NC. Archival tide gauge data recovered from the U.S. National Archives indicates that mean tidal range in Wilmington has doubled to 1.55m since the 1880s, with a much smaller increase of 0.07m observed near the ocean boundary. These tidal changes are reproduced by simulating channel depths of 7m (1888 condition) and 15.5m (modern condition). Similarly, model sensitivity studies using idealized, parametric tropical cyclones suggest that the storm surge in the worst-case, CAT-5 event may have increased from 3.80.25m to 5.60.6m since the nineteenth century. The amplification in both tides and storm surge is influenced by reduced hydraulic drag caused by greater mean depths.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据