Cohort profile: indigenous human papillomavirus and oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma study - a prospective longitudinal cohort

Purpose Our aims are to: (1) estimate prevalence, incidence, clearance and persistence of oral human papillomavirus (HPV) infection among Indigenous Australians; (2) identify risk factors associated with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC)-related HPV types (HPV 16 or 18); (3) develop HPV-related health state valuations and; (4) determine the impact on OPSCC and cervical cancers, and the cost-effectiveness of extending publicly-funded HPV vaccination among Indigenous Australians. Participants Participants were recruited from February 2018 to January 2019. Twelve-month follow-up occurred from March 2019 to March 2020. Participants provided socio-demographic characteristics, health-related behaviours including tobacco and alcohol use and sexual history. Health state preferences in regard to HPV vaccination, knowledge regarding HPV infection, OPSCC and cervical cancer were collected using a two-stage standard gamble approach. Participants provided saliva samples and DNA for microbial genotyping was extracted. Findings to date Of the 910 participants who were positive for beta -globin at baseline, 35% had any oral HPV infection. The most prevalent HPV types were 13 or 32 (Heck's disease; 23%). The second most prevalent types were associated with OPSCC (HPV 16 or 18; 3.3%). Of the 645 participants who were positive for beta -globin at 12-month follow-up, 43% had any HPV infection. Of these, 33% were HPV types 13 or 32 and 2.5% were HPV 16 or 18. Some 588 participants had beta -globin positiveoral samples at baseline and 12-month follow-up. The prevalence of any oral HPV infection increased from 34% at baseline to 44% at 12-month follow-up; due to increases in HPV types 13 or 32 (20% at baseline and 34% at 12-month follow-up). Future plans Further funding will be sought to continue follow-up of this cohort, and to include (after a full medical history) a thorough clinical examination of the external head and neck; a complete oral examination and examination of the oropharynx. Blood tests for early stage OPSCC will also be undertaken.

Automated summary

This study aims to estimate the prevalence of oral HPV infection among Indigenous Australians, identify risk factors associated with OPSCC-related HPV types, develop HPV-related health state valuations, and determine the cost-effectiveness of extending publicly-funded HPV vaccination. Findings indicate a high prevalence of oral HPV infection, with lower prevalence of HPV types associated with OPSCC. Future plans include continued follow-up of the cohort with comprehensive clinical examinations and blood tests for early stage OPSCC.