Prediction of outcome in patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with second line PD-1/PDL-1 inhibitors based on clinical parameters: Results from a prospective, single institution study

Objective We prospectively recorded clinical and laboratory parameters from patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with 2nd line PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors in order to address their effect on treatment outcomes. Materials and methods Clinicopathological information (age, performance status, smoking, body mass index, histology, organs with metastases), use and duration of proton pump inhibitors, steroids and antibiotics (ATB) and laboratory values [neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, LDH, albumin] were prospectively collected. Steroid administration was defined as the use of > 10 mg prednisone equivalent for >= 10 days. Prolonged ATB administration was defined as ATB >= 14 days 30 days before or within the first 3 months of treatment. JADBio, a machine learning pipeline was applied for further multivariate analysis. Results Data from 66 pts with non-oncogenic driven metastatic NSCLC were analyzed; 15.2% experienced partial response (PR), 34.8% stable disease (SD) and 50% progressive disease (PD). Median overall survival (OS) was 6.77 months. ATB administration did not affect patient OS [HR = 1.35 (CI: 0.761-2.406, p = 0.304)], however, prolonged ATBs [HR = 2.95 (CI: 1.62-5.36, p = 0.0001)] and the presence of bone metastases [HR = 1.89 (CI: 1.02-3.51, p = 0.049)] independently predicted for shorter survival. Prolonged ATB administration, bone metastases, liver metastases and BMI < 25 kg/m(2) were selected by JADbio as the important features that were associated with increased probability of developing disease progression as response to treatment. The resulting algorithm that was created was able to predict the probability of disease stabilization (PR or SD) in a single individual with an AUC = 0.806 [95% CI:0.714-0.889]. Conclusions Our results demonstrate an adverse effect of prolonged ATBs on response and survival and underscore their importance along with the presence of bone metastases, liver metastases and low BMI in the individual prediction of outcomes in patients treated with immunotherapy.

Automated summary

In patients with non-oncogenic driven metastatic non-small cell lung cancer, prolonged use of antibiotics, bone metastases, liver metastases, and low body mass index are important factors affecting treatment outcomes.