4.4 Article

Farms worldwide: 2020 and 2030 outlook

期刊

OUTLOOK ON AGRICULTURE
卷 50, 期 3, 页码 221-229

出版社

SAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD
DOI: 10.1177/00307270211025539

关键词

Number of farms; distribution of farms; agricultural census; 2030 projection; targeting

资金

  1. CGIAR Research Program on Maize (CRP MAIZE)
  2. CGIAR Research Program on Wheat (CRP WHEAT)

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There are an estimated 656 million farms globally in 2020, projected to decline to 624 million farms by 2030. These estimates can help inform policy and investment planning, highlighting the need for further investment in agricultural census data.
Rural development objectives are often framed relative to a targeted number of beneficiary farms and farm households. Yet the data available on the number and distribution of the world's farms has been surprisingly fragmented and coherent estimates of the number of farms in a given region for a given year have not been available. We take a set of simple rules to use existing data sources to generate a harmonized set of farm number estimates at the national level. We estimate there are 656 million farms globally in 2020, with a projected decline to 624 million farms globally by 2030. These estimates can be used to better inform policy and large-scale investment programming and design. We also articulate the need for further investments in basic agricultural census data, and outline an agenda for the generation of farm distribution data that would be most useful for further policy guidance.

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