期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 48, 期 12, 页码 -出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2020GL092268
关键词
climate change; climate sensitivity; climate feedbacks; GCM; vertical resolution; general circulation model
资金
- Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme - BEIS
- Defra
- Public Weather Service research funding
Recent studies show that some current GCMs exhibit climate sensitivity beyond accepted ranges, with increasing vertical resolution not necessarily leading to higher climate sensitivity. Further research is needed to test this result in other GCMs and across a broader range of resolutions.
Many of the current, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6), General Circulation Models (GCMs) show climate sensitivity higher than currently accepted uncertainty ranges. There is a weak correlation between increases in vertical resolution and in climate sensitivity from CMIP5. In particular, the MO Hadley Centre GCM's vertical resolution has more than doubled, and its climate sensitivity has also increased substantially. We therefore compare estimates of climate sensitivity from the CMIP6 model HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL, with 85 levels, and a version with 242 levels. This is far higher resolution than in any previously published simulations with a mainstream GCM, though still less than many scales important for clouds. The climate sensitivity and feedbacks, including the cloud feedback, change little. This suggests that vertical resolution did not drive recent increases in GCM climate sensitivity, though this result should be further tested in other GCMs and over a broader range of resolutions.
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