Risk factors for developing peritoneal metastases after curative surgery for colorectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Aim Proactive detection and treatment strategies have achieved encouraging survival outcomes for patients with early peritoneal metastases (PM), but these costly and invasive approaches can only be applied to selected high-risk patients. This meta-analysis aimed to identify the risk factors for metachronous PM after curative surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC). Method The study was registered at PROSPERO (CRD42020219187). Databases were searched for studies comparing clinical and histopathological characteristics between patients with metachronous peritoneal metastases from colorectal cancer (pmCRC) and patients without (non-pmCRC). Results Thirty-six studies were included. Metachronous PM were positively associated with perforation (OR 1.920; 95% CI 1.144-3.223; P = 0.014), poor differentiation (OR 2.291; 1.603-3.275; P < 0.001), T4 (OR 2.897; 1.248-6.726; P = 0.013), N1-2 (OR 3.429; 2.684-4.381; P < 0.001), mucinous adenocarcinoma (OR 4.175; 1.798-9.692; P = 0.001), obstruction (OR 4.467; 1.919-10.398; P = 0.001), synchronous ovarian metastases (OR 5.005; 1.140-21.977; P = 0.033), positive peritoneal carcinoembryonic antigen mRNA (OR 9.472; 3.643-24.631; P < 0.001), elevated serum carcinoembryonic antigen (preoperative group, OR 3.545, 1.486-8.459, P = 0.004; postoperative group, OR 13.673, 2.222-84.129, P = 0.005), elevated serum cancer antigen 19-9 (preoperative group, OR 5.281, 2.146-12.994, P < 0.001; postoperative group, OR 18.646, 6.429-54.083, P < 0.001) and positive peritoneal cytology (OR 25.884; 11.372-58.913; P < 0.001). Conclusion These evidence-based risk factors are conducive to designing early detection and proactive treatment strategies, enabling precision medicine.

Automated summary

This meta-analysis identified several risk factors associated with metachronous peritoneal metastases after curative surgery for colorectal cancer, including perforation, poor differentiation, lymph node involvement, mucinous adenocarcinoma, bowel obstruction, synchronous ovarian metastases, elevated serum tumor markers, and positive peritoneal cytology. These factors can guide the development of early detection and proactive treatment strategies for precision medicine.