The influence of incidental detection of thyroid nodule on thyroid cancer risk and prognosis-A systematic review

Background Clinically inapparent thyroid nodules discovered serendipitously on imaging for nonthyroid indications are termed as thyroid incidentalomas. It is unclear whether these incidentalomas have a lower prevalence of malignancy or slower tumour progression compared to symptomatic nodules. The aims of this systematic review were to determine the impact of incidental detection of thyroid nodules on both the risk of malignancy and on prognosis in patients with thyroid cancer. Method PubMed and MEDLINE (R) on Web of Science databases were searched from inception to March 2020 for English language articles reporting on human studies of thyroid cancer risk and/or prognosis in incidental and nonincidental nodules. Results Eighteen observational studies published between 1998 and 2020 were eligible for analysis; four studies reported on risk, nine on prognosis and five studies reported on both risk and prognosis. When comparing the incidental and nonincidental groups in the risk study, the odds of incidental detection in the cancer and benign groups ranged from 0.16 to 0.5 and 0.06 to 0.38, respectively (odds ratio [OR] = 0.64-2.86) in case-control studies (n = 6); the risk of malignancy for thyroid nodules ranged from 4% to 23.5% in the incidental and 3.8% to 28.7% in the nonincidental groups (relative risk = 0.13-6.27) in the cohort studies (n = 3). A meta-analysis of the eligible case-control studies (n = 3) showed a nonsignificant summated OR of 1.04 (95% confidence interval = 0.63-1.70; p = .88). In the prognosis study, five direct and thirteen indirect markers of prognosis were compared between the incidental and nonincidental groups. A meta-analysis was not possible but incidentally detected thyroid cancer had better progression-free and overall survival. Conclusion Current evidence suggests that investigation and management of thyroid nodules should not be influenced by the mode of detection.

Automated summary

The impact of incidentally detected thyroid nodules on malignancy risk and prognosis may not be as significant as previously thought, suggesting that management should not be influenced by the mode of detection.