期刊
AUTOMATION IN CONSTRUCTION
卷 129, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.autcon.2021.103827
关键词
Construction equipment; Residual value; Machine learning; Performance metrics
This study explores accurate modeling of residual value prediction for heavy construction equipment using machine learning methods, comparing three different algorithms for prediction accuracy through experiments.
It is challenging to develop accurate models for heavy construction equipment residual value prediction using conventional approaches. This article proposes three Machine Learning-based methods of Modified Decision Tree (MDT), LightGBM, and XGBoost regressions to predict construction equipment's residual value. Supervised machine learning algorithms were used to comprehensively investigate the datasets throughout training, testing, modeling, and cross-validation processes. Four performance metrics (i.e., MAE, MSE, MAPE, and R2) were used to measure and compare the algorithms' accuracy. Based on the coefficient of determination results, the MDT algorithm has the highest prediction accuracy of 0.9284, versus the LightGBM with an accuracy of 0.8765, followed by XGBoost, obtaining an accuracy of 0.8493. The MDT can be used as a managerial decision support tool for equipment sellers, buyers, and owners to perform equipment life cycle analysis and take equipment selling, purchasing, overhauling, repairing, disposing, and replacing decisions. Thus, this study motivates machine learning's potential to help advancing automation as a coherent field of research within the construction industry.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据