Non-classical probabilities invariant under symmetries

Classical real-valued probabilities come at a philosophical cost: in many infinite situations, they assign the same probability value-namely, zero-to cases that are impossible as well as to cases that are possible. There are three non-classical approaches to probability that can avoid this drawback: full conditional probabilities, qualitative probabilities and hyperreal probabilities. These approaches have been criticized for failing to preserve intuitive symmetries that can be preserved by the classical probability framework, but there has not been a systematic study of the conditions under which these symmetries can and cannot be preserved. This paper fills that gap by giving complete characterizations under which symmetries understood in a certain strong way can be preserved by these non-classical probabilities, as well as by offering some results to make it plausible that the strong notion of symmetry here is the right one. Philosophical implications are briefly discussed, but the main purpose of the paper is to offer technical results to help make further philosophical discussion more sophisticated.

Automated summary

Classical real-valued probabilities have philosophical costs, and three non-classical approaches have been suggested to avoid the drawbacks. However, these approaches have been criticized for failing to preserve intuitive symmetries. This paper offers technical results to explore the conditions under which these symmetries can be preserved by these non-classical probabilities.