期刊
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
卷 200, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.111150
关键词
Pollen; Aeroallergens; Pollen forecasting; Pollinosis; Allergen avoidance
资金
- [University of Bologna Ricerca Fondamentale Orientata 19deldu]
This review summarizes the main parameters considered when forecasting pollen, categorizes different forecasting methods into two groups: observation-based and process-based, compares their usefulness to allergic patients, and discusses potential future developments in the field.
Pollinosis and allergic asthma are respiratory diseases of global relevance, heavily affecting the quality of life of allergic subjects. Since there is not a decisive cure yet, pollen allergic subjects need to avoid exposure to high pollen allergens concentrations. For this purpose, pollen forecasting is an essential tool that needs to be reliable and easily accessible. While forecasting methods are rapidly evolving towards more complex statistical and physical models, the use of simple and traditional methods is still preferred in routine predictions. In this review, we summarise and explain the main parameters considered when forecasting pollen, and classify the different forecasting methods in two groups: observation-based and process-based. Finally, we compare these approaches based on their usefulness to allergic patients, and discuss possible future developments of the field.
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